While Donald Trump was on the phone with Vladimir Putin hearing about how brilliantly Russian forces are advancing across Ukraine, Ukrainian drones were killing people in Crimea. That's not irony. That's just a Sunday in Year Five of this war.
Four-Hour Weekend, Two Phone Calls, Zero Ceasefire
Trump held separate calls with both Putin and Zelenskyy over the weekend, framed publicly as a diplomatic push to end the war in Ukraine. According to CBS News, the Trump-Putin call lasted nearly an hour and a half, which is their fourth conversation this year. That's more quality time than most people spend with their accountants.
Zelenskyy posted on X that he called Trump to mark the 250th anniversary of American independence, they discussed the front line situation, and he came away believing there is 'a real prospect of ending this war.' He said the two leaders agreed to continue talking in person at the NATO summit in Ankara. That's the most optimistic framing you can put on a conversation that produced no concrete commitments from anyone.
Putin's Briefing to Trump: A Work of Fiction
Here's what the Kremlin's foreign affairs adviser Yuri Ushakov said Putin told Trump during their call: that Russian armed forces are 'confidently advancing, liberating one settlement after another.' Putin specifically cited the capture of Kostyantynivka in the Donetsk region as a major Russian victory and a key step toward controlling the entire region.
Ukraine's General Staff responded on Telegram the next day saying Kostyantynivka remains under Ukrainian control. Zelenskyy had already called the Russian claim 'just another Russian lie' the day before. So Putin looked Trump in the eye, metaphorically speaking, and told him a thing that Ukraine says is flatly untrue. This is the guy Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff are being sent to Moscow to negotiate with.
The Kremlin readout also had Putin blaming Ukraine and European allies for 'betting on prolonging, and even escalating the conflict,' accusing what he called the European 'party of war' of misreading the battlefield situation. This is a man who invaded a neighboring country in 2022 complaining that other people want the fighting to continue.
Meanwhile, Back in Crimea
While the diplomatic calls were happening, Ukraine struck northern Crimea, killing one person and injuring two others, including one serious injury, according to the Russian-installed regional governor Sergei Aksyonov, who posted the information on Telegram. Aksyonov did not provide details about the nature of the attack.
This is not a one-off. CBS News reports that Ukraine has significantly stepped up strikes on key infrastructure targets in Crimea in recent weeks, as Kyiv works to isolate the Russian-held peninsula. Russia declared a state of emergency in Crimea at the end of June and halted all fuel sales to civilians because of the ongoing Ukrainian strikes. Putin himself admitted to a Russian journalist around that time that the Ukrainian attacks were causing 'problems' for Russia. That's a remarkable concession from a man who just told Trump his forces are advancing confidently.
The Crimea Situation, Briefly Explained
Russia seized Crimea by force in 2014 and illegally annexed it. That's not disputed international law, that's just international law. The peninsula has been a critical logistical hub for Russia's war effort ever since, and Ukraine has made it a priority target, using long-range strikes to degrade Russia's ability to supply its forces.
Western analysts and officials, as CBS News notes, say Moscow's recent battlefield advances have ground to a near halt. The Ukrainian strikes on Crimea are part of a strategy to keep pressure on Russia while the front lines have largely stabilized. So the military picture on the ground looks considerably different from the confident-advance narrative Putin was selling to Trump on a Saturday afternoon phone call.
Witkoff and Kushner Are Still On This
The Kremlin readout confirmed that Trump's envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will continue mediation efforts and are prepared to visit Moscow. Trump also reaffirmed, per the Kremlin, his 'readiness to help achieve a quick cessation of hostilities,' which is a thing he has been affirming since before his second inauguration with limited results to show for it.
Kushner is a real estate developer who married into this job. Witkoff is a real estate developer who golfed his way into this job. They are the American government's point people for ending the largest land war in Europe since World War Two. This is where we are.
The Dingo Take
The structure of these calls tells you everything. Putin spends ninety minutes telling Trump that Russia is winning and Europe is the problem. Zelenskyy congratulates Trump on the Fourth of July and asks him to stay engaged. Trump reaffirms his readiness to help. Nobody agrees to anything. And Ukraine keeps bombing Crimea, because that is the only lever Kyiv actually controls right now.
The lie about Kostyantynivka deserves more attention than it's getting. Putin told the President of the United States a specific, verifiable thing about the battlefield that Ukraine's military immediately and publicly contradicted. Either Putin is feeding Trump disinformation deliberately, or the Russian military is feeding Putin disinformation and he's passing it along. Neither option is great for a peace negotiation. Both options explain why there hasn't been one.
Four calls this year. A war entering its fifth. Crimea on fire. Kushner packing a bag for Moscow. At some point, 'we agreed to continue the conversation' stops being diplomacy and starts being a description of the problem.